Technical Indicators Show That Cardano Could Be On the Verge of a Breakout

Women looking at a crypto graph on her laptop

Cardano is a decentralized blockchain that uses its native crypto token, Ada, in order to facilitate transactions. Its development began in 2015, with the system being launched in 2017 when it was the largest crypto token in the world to use a proof-of-stake blockchain.

Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson is the system’s creator, and he named the platform after Italian polymath Gerolamo Cardano. The name “Ada” comes from Ada Lovelace, English mathematician and the first person to recognize the potential of computers.

Investors have become aware of this ecosystem over the last few years, and an ever-growing number are looking to include the coins in their portfolios in order to ensure diversification and boost value. If you’re one of them, you should know that looking into the latest Ada price prediction figures is a must in order to make good choices when it comes to your portfolio and ensure that your gains surpass the losses.

20% breakout

Estimations and predictions taking place in the crypto environment can never provide 100% certainty about the future of any asset, but they are nonetheless the backbone of this ever-changing ecosystem. The reason for that is because technical analysis and historical data make investors feel more confident in their choices, adding a layer of objectivity that is very much needed in this highly-emotional marketplace that is often guided by FOMO. Recently, Ada became the reason for a lot of discourse after climbing by well over 10%.

The total amount of its gains was 13.5%, with the overall market sentiment further indicating that an even larger price upswing is in the making. The growth was very much welcome, especially since it occurred following a massive, 32% dip in February. While Ada hasn’t recovered its full strength yet, it is clearly on the way to do so. Investors can expect continuous growth in the upcoming months, but corrections will definitely still occur as well, so it is vital to have a strategy that is both robust and flexible at the same time.

Bullish sentiment

Most investors believed that 2025 would be one of the best years for the crypto market, with the gains continuing to mount. However, the reality was somewhat different. While the marketplace is in fact relatively strong, the prices have been somewhat stagnant, leaving investors hoping for a more bullish outlook feeling somewhat disappointed. However, most analysts believe that the market is actually doing quite well at the moment.

According to recent data from an on-chain intelligence platform, the social sentiment associated with Cardano has been overwhelmingly positive since the beginning of the year. The cryptocurrency marketplace is highly reliant on hype, news, and the feelings of investors, so the fact that the community is optimistic is a very good sign. The investors dealing with Cardano were elated to learn about the latest news from the Securities and Exchange Commission, which announced that Ada has officially been classified as an “academic credentialing”, with the “smart contracts for government services” use case. The SEC statement was followed by the highest rate of positive comments recorded by Ada since November 2024.

When investor sentiment improves, analysts believe that trading activity starts climbing as well, which sometimes leads to elevated prices as well. This was the case last year, when sentiment and active transactions were proportional in the Cardano ecosystem. Typically, investors would say that historical data is a strong enough indicator of how things will unfold in the future as well, but it is essential to remember that conditions might differ between the situations, so the outcomes might not be the same either. This is the case right now, as the marketplace environment is not the same as it used to be.

Current conditions

Recent data indicates that there is a considerable difference between the number of early transactions between the fourth quarter of 2024 and 2025. Back then, the average count remained above 100,000 for two months, but right now it is down approximately 70% compared to that value, with the number of transactions being slightly above 26,000. However, the weak on-chain activity hasn’t drained all the strength from the Cardano community.

Most believe that what’s going on at the moment is simply the normal state of things when it comes to cryptocurrencies, and that the coins are liquid enough to move on from this and keep driving revenue in the future. Sudden negative surprises are unlikely as a result, and recovery is pretty much a certainty. There’s also the fact that Ada has been receptive to positive news in the past. It has maintained a position above the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement line despite the downswing, indicating that the HTF chart is still established on a technical uptrend.

Possible rally

Most traders and analysts are convinced that 2025 will be a good year for crypto coins overall. Right now, Ada is still oscillating between different trendlines and still has to surpass some resistance levels before regaining full strength and continuing on an upswing, which sounds challenging but might actually be much more accessible. The 200-day exponential moving average and a positive candle closing right above the 200-DEMA orange line indicate a shift to a more bullish pattern. When working together, these two might provide the missing link to a move above $0.80, charting a course to the $1 milestone.

Historically, Ada has exhibited periods of prolonged sideways movements that have the potential to limit immediate gains or at least delay them for a while. A considerable break would nonetheless be a welcome change among investors, who would certainly regard the change as confirmation for a rally and change their trading strategies accordingly.

If you’re a newcomer to the ecosystem, remember that having a comprehensive game plan is crucial for the well-being of your portfolio. The movements you choose to make should align with your financial goals so that you can record a consistent stream of gains and minimize losses as much as possible. Because of that, it is a much better idea to do your own research and learn how the market works instead of always relying on analysts to do the heavy lifting.

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